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Crown Green Handicap

Phil Wilkinson

Team: New Brighton Quarry Vikings DDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

256

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

10

Matches Played

1

Wins

9

Losses

10%

Win Rate

3.0

Avg Win Margin

10.1

Avg Loss Margin

1-3

Home Record

0-6

Away Record

80%

Handicap Confidence

Provisional
9 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/17/2026

The handicap is built on a small recent sample (9 matches so far). It is deliberately conservative and will move as more results come in.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 10 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

20 Apr22 May5 Jun3 Jul6 Jul17 Jul-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
11%
score-0.78→contribution-0.31
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
3.0
score-0.83→contribution-0.21
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.5
score-0.25→contribution-0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
11%
score-0.78→contribution-0.08
Opponent Strength(10%)
718
score-1.00→contribution-0.10
Weighted Score-0.735
Sample Size Confidence
80%(9/39 matches)
Rating633 → shrunk 706→ adjusted 256
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)256
Recency Blend12% (9 recent matches)
Final Rating256
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

1W9L10 matches·10% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
New Brighton Quarry Vikings D2023–2026League 3101910%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/17/2026Wendy ThompsonH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
7/6/2026Tina BarrettA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
7/3/2026Karen EllisH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
6/15/2026James ThomsonA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
6/5/2026Atreu CharltonH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
5/29/2026Mandy GreenH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
5/22/2026Stephen CorriganA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
5/1/2026Derek MacDonaldA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
4/20/2026Simon ThompsonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
6/16/2023Sue TilstonA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
Cartwright Cup1 games · 1W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundPhillip SummersPort Sunlight Village & Works B21-19WINLOST

Current Streak

5losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 1010% win rate— steady
LLLLLWLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Wendy Thompson0110%7/17/2026
Tina Barrett0110%7/6/2026
Karen Ellis0110%7/3/2026
James Thomson0110%6/15/2026
Atreu Charlton0110%6/5/2026
Mandy Green101100%5/29/2026
Stephen Corrigan0110%5/22/2026
Derek MacDonald0110%5/1/2026
Simon Thompson0110%4/20/2026
Sue Tilston0110%6/16/2023
Biggest Win
Mandy Green (+3)5/29/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Sue Tilston (-15)6/16/2023
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
20% → 0%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
71810 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
1-910% win rate
League 310%
1W·9L·10 played

Debut

Jun 16, 2023

Latest

Jul 17, 2026

Seasons Active

2 (3.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

5.0 (10 total)

Seasons

20232026